Well the wheels have really fell off the wagon, its been a really bad 10 days or so. In this short space of time, I have virtually lost my whole years profit. I have tried to put my finger on what the problem is and have come to the conclusion that it is just variance, I have had a few inevitable bad beats, but most of the big pots I have lost have just been coolers with at least 6 sets losing to oversets. I am about 16 buyins down this month in the 33k hands that I have played so far, which is very bad considering my quite nittish style at full ring.
I am considering changing the style of play that I use and I am definitely going to have to experiment with different lines as the style of play on stars does seem to be a lot different to what I am used to on other sites. When I was sponsored with Bad Beat on ipoker. In the first 3 months I was up over 1k playing only two tables of 50NL Full Ring and was obv playing a lot less hands than I am now as I am currently 9-13 tabling normally a min of 3-5 hours a day. So I must be doing something drastically wrong.
The other thing I may need to consider is the the variance seemed to have kicked in since Stars changed the min buyin structure so the 20bb guys can't now sit at the 40bb-100bb tables that I am choosing to play on. I am beginning to wonder if a lot of my profit when I first started to play on stars was from playing against these short stacks in a +ev fashion. I am not sure how I could filter this out in HEM to see if this indeed the case, although I really don't want to go an play at the 20bb-50bb tables as I have read a few studies that the short stackers do have a real advantage long term.
The good news I guess is that I have already retained Gold Star status and should move up to platinum by the end of next week. Should also be able to purchase a $650 VIP Bonus at the end of the month, which should bring some welcome $$ back into the bankroll which as I said above is taking a bit of a hit at the moment.
I reckon its gonna be a long struggle to get to supernova and I need to develop an effective strategy to at least break even very quick, or it will be back to MTTs and Snooze and Gos again.
Prob won't play too much today as its FA Cup final day here in Englands green and pleasant land, which means a compulsory all day out on the piss.
Also need to start to increase the frequency of my blogging to help with my enthusiasm through these bad times. Hopefully the good times will be back again very soon.
Time to get the blood rushing round the body ready for the day out, crank up the sound to full and give it some thrash.....
Pendulum - Watercolour
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